Before a World Cup, there has to be a World Cup draw.
Yes,
after roughly three years of qualifying, involving 871 games around the
globe, the likes of Lionel Messi, Cristiano Ronaldo and Neymar -- not
to mention millions of football fans around the world -- will be holding
their breath on Friday.
The draw will take place at 3pm
GMT (10:00 ET, 18:00 local) but, if you are pressed for time, tune in
about half an hour later. That's when the actual draw should start.
Former
England striker Gary Lineker and Russian football reporter Maria
Komandnaya will host the draw and they'll be assisted by superstars from
each of the eight nations that have won the World Cup.
It
is a glittering cast: Diego Maradona (Argentina), Cafu (Brazil), Fabio
Cannavaro (Italy), Carles Puyol (Spain), Gordon Banks (England), Laurent
Blanc (France), Diego Forlan (Uruguay) and Miroslav Klose (Germany,
trophy bearer).
The draw assistant from the host country is 91-year-old former Spartak Moscow striker Russia Nikita Simonyan.
The format, the teams
The 32 countries are divided into four pots of eight.
Unlike
years past, only FIFA's world rankings determines which country goes
into which pot and, for this draw, the sport's world governing body has
based the seedings on October's world rankings.
So,
for example, the seven top-ranked teams that qualified, plus Russia,
are in pot 1 and the next highest-ranked eight are in pot 2 and so
forth, ending with the lowest ranked eight in pot four.
Pot 1: Russia, Germany, Brazil, Portugal, Argentina, Belgium, Poland, France
Pot 2: Spain, Switzerland, England, Colombia, Mexico, Uruguay, Croatia, Peru
Pot 3: Iceland, Costa Rica, Sweden, Tunisia, Egypt, Senegal, Iran, Denmark
Pot 4: Nigeria, Australia, Japan, Morocco, Panama, South Korea, Saudi Arabia, Serbia
As
host Russia was placed in pot 1, a boost for them since Stanislav
Cherchesov's men -- based on those October rankings -- are the
lowest-ranked team in the tournament at No. 65, two places behind Saudi
Arabia.
Among others in
the elite tier are defending champions Germany, record five-time winners
Brazil, European champions Portugal and 2014 World Cup runners-up
Argentina.
The end result
will be eight groups of four teams. There is one last caveat -- no
group is allowed to feature more than one team from the same
confederation, apart from members of European football's governing body
UEFA, which, with 14 teams, provided the highest number of qualifiers.
No more than two UEFA countries are allowed in a group.
A "Group of Death?"
Every
major football draw seems to produce a so-called "Group of Death." The
term was reportedly first coined in reference to Group 3 of the 1970
World Cup, featuring reigning champions England, favorites Brazil, 1962
runners-up Czechoslovakia and Romania.
But, the "Group of Death" isn't
necessarily always a single entity -- in 2014 it was widely
acknowledged that there were three difficult groups.
Friday's
draw could potentially pit Brazil, former champions Spain, seven-time
Africa Cup of Nations champions Egypt and Serbia against each other.
With
Spain and England among the second batch of teams, there are a number
of mouthwatering scenarios to speculate over before the draw. Who could
not get excited about the prospect of Germany, England, Egypt --
returning to the World Cup for the first time since 1990 -- and Nigeria
forming one group?
Who are the favorites?
Defending champions Germany are bidding to become the first team to retain the title since Brazil did so in 1962.
Ranked
No.1 in the world and unbeaten since their Euro 2016 semifinal defeat
by France, Joachim Löw's men were peerless in qualifying, winning all 10
of their matches and scoring 43 goals in the process.
Five-time
champions Brazil were the first South American team to qualify for
Russia 2018 and their form in the last 18 months has helped heal the
wounds of that 7-1 semifinal thumping by Germany at their home World Cup
three years ago.
Coach
Adenor Leonardo Bacchi, known as Tite, has overseen a vast improvement
since he succeeded Dunga in June 2016. Brazil remain undefeated in
competitive fixtures since the new man took charge and won 10 of their
final 12 qualification matches.
With
Lionel Messi in their ranks -- the Barcelona star scored an incredible
hat-trick to secure Argentina's place in Russia - Argentina are among
the bookmakers' favorites, as are previous World Cup winners Spain,
France and Portugal.
Belgium
have promised much with the talent at their disposal and after a fine
qualifying campaign -- they topped their group with an unbeaten run --
2018 could be the year the Red Devils finally blossom.
In Brazil in 2014, Bosnia &
Herzegovina were the only debutants in the tournament. In Russia, there
will be two: Iceland and Panama.
Iceland
became the smallest nation -- population of around 335,000 -- to ever
qualify for the World Cup by topping, fittingly perhaps, Group I in
Europe.
While Iceland's
inclusion might not be a surprise -- they made the quarterfinals of Euro
2016, beating England en route -- Panama's most certainly is.
Panama
didn't even qualify for the final round of 2014 World Cup qualifying in
the Concacaf region and were knocked out in the quarterfinals at this
year's Gold Cup in a 12-team field.
Perhaps unsurprisingly, Panama's President Juan Carlos Varela declared a public holiday following qualification.
Although not a first-timer,
Peru will be appearing at football's biggest party for the first time in
36 years, having beaten New Zealand 2-0 in a two-leg playoff to secure
the final qualifying spot.
Such was the euphoria when Jefferson Farfan scored the opener in the second leg in Lima, it caused an earthquake in Peru's capital city.
"An
earthquake alert was activated due to the underground vibration
generated by the fans," wrote the official seismology page of Chile,
which borders Peru.
Who will be missing?
Spare a thought for Italian fans. The Azzurri -- four-time winners -- missed out on the World Cup for the first time since 1958 after losing a two-leg playoff against Sweden. It marked the end of legendary keeper Gianluigi Buffon's 20-year international career.
Although Buffon, the most capped Italian in history, is likely to be tormented when watching Russia 2018, he can at least take solace from the fact that he was a key member of Italy's World Cup winning team in 2006.
Other high-profile nations not
in the draw are 2010 World Cup runners-up the Netherlands, traditional
Concacaf powerhouse the US and Alexis Sanchez's Chile.
Two recent ever-presents of African football, Ivory Coast and Ghana, also failed to emerge from an arduous qualifying campaign.
Both
nations had qualified for three successive World Cups, but failure to
reach Russia 2018 ended up costing Belgian Marc Wilmots his job as
manager of Les Elephants.
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